Inflation numbers were just released and continue to show the slow slide downwards in core CPI numbers. I modified the chart to highlight core CPI. As you can see it is still trending downwards along with the housing subcomponent.
Core CPI touched the 1% yoy level in 2004. Considering the direction of core CPI we may penetrate that lower level soon(tm)
Housing CPI is still deflating and I don't see that changing anytime soon.
While headline CPI is still higher than core I don't foresee it rising too much more without putting a serious dent in the economy. $150 oil helped knock the economy over last time and if oil prices continue to rise it will start to crimp the economy again.
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