Jim Chanos - Easier to Find Short Ideas as Bull Market Goes On

I've mentioned Jim Chanos before in this blog, and he's out again with some telling examples of late stage 'exuberance'

While Mr. Chanos is almost never perfectly timed with the market's current mood, he is rarely wrong longer term.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-06-15/chanos-easier-to-find-short-ideas-as-bull-market-goes-on

Cool tool - IBorrow shows you short stock availability and borrow rates

While reading one of the many blogs I follow I ran across this cool tool which I'd like to share with you:

https://www.iborrowdesk.com/

Interactive Brokers provides data showing borrow availability and the rate you'll pay to borrow the stock.  Using this data however is a bit clunky.  Fortunately IBorrow has come along allowing one to quickly pull up and visualize the data.

For those looking at option strategies, which broad based etf's to short, or other strategies, knowing the quantity and rate of shares available can be important.  I suggest you give it a try.

ht: Glenn Chan

Never bet against The Chanos

Never bet against The Chanos

That may sound like an odd commandment, but it's a good one. I speak of Jim Chanos, the well known short seller.  Speaking highly of a member of such a profession may raise the hackles of some individuals, as well as governments, but I have been following his public pronouncements for quite a while and he may be early, but very rarely wrong.   Post the great recession of 2008-2009 he was one of the first to warn about the construction & credit bubbles percolating in China; and while ridiculed for it his warnings have played out.

I even  have a google alert on "Jim Chanos" (along with quite a few others) so as to catch everything he talks about. Recently I got a hit on a great 90+ minute podcast he did with FT Alphaville.

Podcast: Jim Chanos on the art of short-selling

I suggest you listen to all of it.

Hugh Hendry talking macro and China

It's been a while since I've mentioned Hugh Hendry but he's popped back up on YouTube recently.  After his positively raucous returns in the depth of the crisis he had a long period of very underwhelming returns and from his manner in this broadcast I'd guess a tough few years.

ft.com describes the decline in assets under management in 2014

As always I find him entertaining to watch.   He provides some of the reasons for his reversal of opinion on China as well.  Regardless whether you agree with him or not I suggest you listen.

source: http://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2016/04/hugh-hendrys-long-dark-night-of-the-soul/

US Coal - brutal fallout from low natural gas prices

I've recently posted on the drop in natural gas and oil prices, but I haven't commented much on the knock on effects.  A brutal example is the destruction of coal companies in the US.  Train car loadings of coal have completely fallen off a cliff, caught fire, and remain a smouldering ruin.

Look at some of the stock symbols for coal companies and you'll see declines even more severe. Here's BTU (Peabody Energy)

Low natural gas prices are encouraging a switch from coal to natural gas electricity generation

source: http://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/update/resource_use.cfm#tabs_con-3

It is not a good time to be in the coal business

disclosure: No positions, either long or short.